Gameweek 4 Roundup: Six Upsets Shake the Table as Arsenal and Manchester City Stay Perfect

Gameweek 4 will be remembered as the weekend the Premier League's early order dissolved. Six of the ten fixtures produced upsets, four of them draws, and the table that emerged looks distinctly unfamiliar — everywhere, that is, except the very top.

The perfect pair

Arsenal won 2-0 at Sunderland AFC and Manchester City took the derby 1-0 against Manchester United, making them the only sides with four wins from four. According to the Premier League table, both sit on 12 points, with Arsenal top on goal difference, +7 to City's +6.

Brighton & Hove Albion supplied the gameweek's biggest scoreline, winning 5-0 at Coventry City to climb to fifth with 13 goals — more than any other side in the division, according to the Premier League table. Leeds United, 4-1 winners against Newcastle United, and Hull City AFC complete the top four on 8 points apiece.

Six upsets, four draws

Every one of the gameweek's six upsets carried a bookmaker-derived probability below 30%:

• Chelsea 2-2 Hull City AFC — the biggest shock of the weekend, with the draw rated at a bookmaker-derived probability of just 14%
• Liverpool 0-0 Fulham — a draw at 20%
• Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich Town — an away win at 24%
• Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton — a draw at 26%
• AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford — a draw at 27%
• Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest — an away win at 29%

The draws did the most damage to the bigger names. Liverpool, held at home by Fulham, are eighth with three draws from four matches. Tottenham Hotspur are 17th and, according to the Premier League table, have yet to score this season. Aston Villa's home defeat by Nottingham Forest left them 19th on a single point, while Ipswich Town's win at Crystal Palace lifted the visitors to tenth.

A weekend to forget for FanTribe's predictors

FanTribe's prediction data makes for uncomfortable reading. Of the eight fixtures in which the community had a clear favourite, only two calls proved correct: Arsenal to win at Sunderland, and Brighton to win at Coventry — the two away results that also matched the bookmakers' favourite.

The most striking story was Chelsea vs Hull City AFC. FanTribe's predictors backed Hull while the bookmakers made Chelsea favourite — the widest fan-versus-market gap of the gameweek at 93 — and the 2-2 draw meant neither camp had the answer.

Fans and the market agreed on Aston Villa at home to Nottingham Forest, and both were undone by an away win carrying a bookmaker-derived probability of 29%. Elsewhere the community went against the market and missed: a called draw at Crystal Palace, where Ipswich won 3-2; Everton backed at Tottenham, where it finished 0-0; and Brentford backed at AFC Bournemouth, where it ended 2-2.

The Manchester derby split the community down the middle — half backing Manchester United, half the draw, and none backing Manchester City, the bookmakers' favourite, whose win carried a bookmaker-derived probability of 43%. Leeds United vs Newcastle United was another even split, half home and half away, and the hosts' 4-1 win meant half of those predictors called it correctly.

Life at the bottom

Coventry City end Gameweek 4 bottom of the table with no points, no goals and ten conceded from four defeats, according to the Premier League table. Fulham and Aston Villa have a point apiece, Tottenham Hotspur two. After a weekend this untidy, Gameweek 5 offers everyone a clean slate.