Ipswich Town win 3-2 at ten-man Crystal Palace as Flemming strikes late

Ipswich Town left Selhurst Park with all three points after Zian Flemming's 90th-minute goal sealed a 3-2 win over ten-man Crystal Palace in Gameweek 4 of the 2026-27 season. By the market's measure it was an upset: bookmakers priced an Ipswich victory at 4.0, a 24% implied probability, while Crystal Palace went into the game as favourites at 1.9 (51% implied).

How the match unfolded

• 14' — Anan Khalaili put Crystal Palace in front
• 23' — Emersonn equalised for Ipswich Town
• 34' — Axel Disasi was shown a red card, reducing Palace to ten men
• 45' — Leif Davis put Ipswich ahead before the interval
• 75' — Jörgen Strand Larsen levelled for the ten men
• 90' — Zian Flemming won it for Ipswich

Khalaili's opener had the hosts ahead inside a quarter of an hour, but the first half turned sharply. Emersonn levelled, Disasi's dismissal left Palace a man short for more than half the contest, and Davis struck on 45 minutes to send the visitors in ahead at the break. Strand Larsen's 75th-minute equaliser set up a tense finish, and Flemming settled it in the 90th minute.

The market's view

Pre-match odds, sourced via api_football, made Crystal Palace favourites at 1.9 — a 51% implied probability of a home win — with the draw at 3.8 (25% implied) and an Ipswich win at 4.0 (24% implied). FanTribe's points on offer reflected that hierarchy: 38 for a Palace victory, 76 for the draw and 80 for the away win.

The community did not see it coming

FanTribe's prediction data shows just one member called this fixture, plumping for the draw — a fan-versus-market disagreement gap of 75 against a bookmakers' home favourite. The away win that actually landed went unpicked, and nobody claimed the 80 points on offer.

What the table shows

According to the Premier League table, Ipswich Town sit eighth with six points from four matches — two wins, two defeats, seven scored and ten conceded. Crystal Palace are 16th on three points, with one win and three defeats, a second straight loss on their record and 11 goals conceded, the most in the division.

One of six upsets

Palace's defeat was one of six upsets across Gameweek 4. Chelsea were held 2-2 at home by Hull City — a draw bookmakers had given a 14% implied probability — Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur played out goalless draws against Fulham and Everton respectively, Aston Villa lost at home to Nottingham Forest, and AFC Bournemouth drew 2-2 with Brentford.

It was that kind of gameweek: on six occasions the market favourite failed to win, and at Selhurst Park the last word went to Flemming in the 90th minute.