Liverpool 0-0 Fulham: goalless Anfield draw lands as Gameweek 4 upset

Liverpool were held to a goalless draw by Fulham at Anfield on Saturday, as Gameweek 4 of the 2026-27 Premier League season served up one of the weekend's biggest surprises.

Neither side found the net across a stubborn afternoon, and with detailed match events unavailable for this fixture, the numbers carry the story: a home side priced as strong favourites, an away team fighting for its first point, and an outcome the market had given little chance.

An upset by the bookmakers' numbers

Bookmakers listed Liverpool at 1.5 to win — a bookmaker-derived probability of 63% — with the draw at 4.62 (20% implied) and a Fulham victory at 5.64 (17% implied). On FanTribe's data, a draw carrying only a 20% bookmaker-derived probability registers as an upset, and that is precisely what happened.

It was one of six upsets across Gameweek 4, a weekend in which favourites fell with remarkable regularity:

• Chelsea were held 2-2 at home by Hull City AFC
• AFC Bournemouth drew 2-2 with Brentford
• Tottenham Hotspur played out their own goalless stalemate with Everton
• Aston Villa lost 1-2 at home to Nottingham Forest
• Crystal Palace were beaten 2-3 by Ipswich Town

Of the eight Gameweek 4 results processed at the time of writing, only two — Arsenal's 2-0 win at Sunderland and Brighton & Hove Albion's 5-0 success at Coventry City — went with the market favourite.

Fans and market agreed — and both missed

FanTribe's prediction data shows the community was firmly behind Liverpool, with 100% of predicted outcomes backing a home win — a sample of one, but unanimous. That put fans in agreement with the market favourite, though the fan-versus-market data still logged a 37-point disagreement gap between the two. By full time, both had been proved wrong: FanTribe's results data shows no community predictions were correct.

The points on offer told their own story. A Liverpool win carried 30 points, the draw 92, and a Fulham victory 113 — meaning the most valuable outcome on the board was the one that actually landed, and nobody claimed it.

What the draw means

According to the Premier League table, Liverpool sit sixth with six points from four matches — one win and three draws — while Fulham remain 18th with a single point, this draw the only one of their campaign so far.

The head-to-head record between these sides had previously shown one Liverpool win and one draw from two meetings: a 2-0 victory at Anfield followed by a 2-2 scoreline at Fulham. This fixture has now ended level for the second time in three encounters.

For Liverpool, dropped points in a home fixture they were strongly fancied to win will sting. For Fulham, a first point of the season, claimed at Anfield of all places, offers something to build on.

Gameweek 4 closes on Monday night at Elland Road, where Leeds United — priced at 2.31 by the bookmakers, a 41% implied probability — host Newcastle United.