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No favourites anywhere: the market cannot split any gameweek fixture

Every fixture on the gameweek card is priced identically — home 2.0, draw 3.0, away 2.0 — yet the Premier League table points to several likely winners. The FanTribe Data Desk examines the gaps.

Football on a pitch
Photo: Peter Glaser baraida / Wikimedia Commons (CC0)

The FanTribe Data Desk's odds feed usually gives us movement to chart — a favourite shortening here, a draw drifting there. This week it offers something stranger: one line, repeated ten times. Every fixture on the card, from the early Saturday kick-off to Monday's closer, is priced home 2.0, draw 3.0, away 2.0. No favourites, no separation — a flat tape that makes the Premier League table look like it comes from a different league.

The slate

  • Saturday 17 October: Everton v Chelsea, Fulham v Hull City, Manchester City v Ipswich Town, Brentford v Liverpool, Newcastle United v Aston Villa
  • Sunday 18 October: AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland, Leeds United v Manchester United, Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace, Nottingham Forest v Arsenal
  • Monday 19 October: Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City

Where the table shouts and the market shrugs

The stand-out mismatch is Fulham v Hull City. According to the Premier League table, Fulham are 19th with three defeats from three, while Hull City sit third — unbeaten, with three goals scored and none conceded. The market's verdict is a dead heat at 2.0 apiece.

It is similar when Manchester City v Ipswich Town comes around. City lead the table with nine points from nine and seven goals scored; Ipswich are 13th on three. Level prices again. When Arsenal, second with a perfect record and one goal conceded so far, travel to a Nottingham Forest side still waiting for a first win, the line stays at 2.0 each way. And Newcastle United, unbeaten in sixth, host an Aston Villa team with one point and no goals to their name — the same story.

Where the flat line looks fair

Brentford v Liverpool suits the pricing best: fifth host seventh, and both are unbeaten on five points. Everton, also unbeaten, against fourth-placed Chelsea, and Leeds United v Manchester United read as genuine toss-ups too, even if the positions — eighth v fourth, ninth v 11th — hint at small edges.

Monday's goalless gathering

The closer brings together two of the three sides yet to score this season: Tottenham Hotspur, 17th on one point with a zero in the goals-for column, and bottom club Coventry City, goalless as well and with five conceded. Even money has rarely looked so fitting.

Over to you

FanTribe's predictor is open for the gameweek. Log your predictions for all ten fixtures and we will line the crowd's calls up against this curiously flat market once the gameweek closes — because on a weekend like this, the table and the tape flatly disagree.

This story was generated from structured football data (fixtures, official results, league standings, betting odds) and FanTribe's own aggregated, anonymised fan data by the FanTribe Data Desk. It was published under our editorial policy.

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