Premier League Odds: Where the Bookmakers Diverge From the Table

Where the Bookmakers and the Table Disagree

The early-season Premier League table makes for startling reading, but the odds for this gameweek do not always follow form. Several fixtures feature pricing that sits awkwardly alongside the current standings, raising the question of whether the market is trusting reputation over results.

Spurs Favourites Despite Rock-Bottom Start

Tottenham Hotspur sit 20th with zero points and a goal difference of -5, according to the Premier League table, yet they are priced at 2.15 to beat Everton at home. Everton, by contrast, occupy 4th with four points and a goal difference of 2, and are available at 3.3. For a Spurs side that has lost both opening matches and scored zero goals, that is a remarkably confident price. The draw at 3.5 suggests the market still gives Spurs the benefit of the doubt at home.

Liverpool Short Despite Two Draws

Liverpool are the shortest-priced home favourite of the gameweek at 1.44 against Fulham, despite sitting 11th with two draws from two games and a goal difference of zero. Fulham lost their only outing and are priced at 7.0, with the draw at 5.0. The market is clearly not panicking about Liverpool's slow start.

Palace and Villa Backed to Recover

Crystal Palace (1.8) and Aston Villa (1.81) are strong home favourites despite each sitting on zero points. Palace, 19th with a -5 goal difference, host an Ipswich Town side that won their opener and are priced at 4.6. Villa, who suffered a heavy opening defeat, face Nottingham Forest at 4.75. In both cases, the market is backing home advantage over early-season evidence.

City Fancied in the Derby

The Manchester derby at Old Trafford sees City as 2.15 favourites despite being the visitors, with United at 3.1. According to the Premier League table, City top the division with six points from two wins and a goal difference of 4, while United sit 16th after losing their opener 2-0. The draw at 4.0 offers a tempting middle ground for a fixture that often defies form.

Tight Margins and Heavy Away Favourites

The closest calls come at AFC Bournemouth (2.4) against Brentford (2.8), and Leeds United (2.62) versus Newcastle United (2.6) — both priced as near coin-flips. Brentford and Newcastle each carry winning form into the weekend.

Arsenal are the heaviest away favourites of the gameweek at 1.53 away to Sunderland, with the Black Cats at 6.5.

Odds for Chelsea vs Hull City AFC and Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion were not available at the time of writing.