Schade brace earns Brentford a point in 2-2 Vitality draw

AFC Bournemouth and Brentford shared four goals and the points at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday, with Kevin Schade's brace earning the visitors a 2-2 draw — a result the bookmakers rated the least likely of the three possible outcomes.

According to bookmaker odds, Bournemouth went in as favourites at 2.45 — a bookmaker-derived win probability of 39% — with Brentford priced at 2.8 (34%) and the draw at 3.6 (27%). By the market's measure, then, this was an upset, and one of six recorded across Gameweek 4.

How it unfolded

• 34' — Kevin Schade put Brentford in front.
• 38' — Justin Kluivert levelled for the Cherries.
• 52' — Marcus Tavernier put Bournemouth ahead.
• 56' — Schade struck again to make it 2-2.

All four goals arrived in a 22-minute span either side of half-time, and neither side held a lead for longer than four minutes. Schade opened the scoring on 34 minutes, but Kluivert's reply restored parity before the break. Tavernier then nudged Bournemouth in front on 52 minutes, only for Schade to hit back within another four — and neither side could find a winner from there as the match settled for a point apiece.

Fans vs the market

FanTribe's prediction data shows every logged pick on this fixture backed a Brentford win — a unanimous away split and a 66-point disagreement with a market that fancied Bournemouth. The Bees did leave unbeaten, but not in the way anyone expected: FanTribe's records show no correct community predictions on the match. The draw carried the biggest reward of the three outcomes, with 72 points on offer against 49 for a home win and 56 for an away win.

What it means

According to the Premier League table, Brentford sit fifth — level with Liverpool and Everton on six points — and remain unbeaten through four matches, with one win and three draws. Bournemouth are 15th on three points after three draws and a defeat, and their wait for a first win of the campaign goes on.

FanTribe's head-to-head records show the Cherries have now gone three meetings without beating Brentford, with the previous two having produced a goalless draw and a 4-1 Brentford win.

The Vitality stalemate was far from the weekend's only surprise. Chelsea were held at home by Hull City, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur played out goalless draws with Fulham and Everton respectively, and both Aston Villa and Crystal Palace lost on home soil — six upsets in all in a Gameweek 4 to forget for the favourites.