Gameweek 3 roundup: eight upsets rock the Premier League as Manchester City and Arsenal stay perfect
Bookmaker favourites were beaten in eight of ten Premier League fixtures in Gameweek 3, with six draws and two away wins. Manchester City and Arsenal are the only sides with perfect records, while FanTribe's community and the market each managed one correct call from the eight predicted fixtures.

Gameweek 3 of the 2026-27 Premier League season was the week the favourites stopped turning up. Bookmaker favourites were beaten in eight of the ten fixtures, six matches finished level, and only Manchester City and Arsenal won as the market expected.
The results
- Ipswich Town 0-2 Liverpool
- Newcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
- Manchester City 1-0 Coventry City
- Nottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur
- Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace
- Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United
- Brentford 1-1 Sunderland AFC
- Hull City AFC 0-0 Aston Villa
- Everton 2-2 Manchester United
- Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
Eight upsets in ten games
Even the two results that went with the market carried a bookmaker-derived probability of just 42 per cent — Manchester City's 1-0 win over Coventry City and Arsenal's 2-1 victory against Chelsea. Every other outcome arrived at 30 per cent or lower.
The away shocks were Liverpool's 2-0 win at Ipswich Town and Crystal Palace's 3-2 success at Fulham, each carrying a bookmaker-derived probability of 30 per cent. The remaining six upsets were all draws priced at 28 per cent: Newcastle United against AFC Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest against Tottenham Hotspur, Brighton & Hove Albion against Leeds United, Brentford against Sunderland AFC, Hull City AFC against Aston Villa and Everton against Manchester United.
City and Arsenal set the pace
According to the Premier League table, Manchester City lead with nine points from three wins, seven goals scored, two conceded and a goal difference of +5. Arsenal are level on nine points and +5 but have scored six to City's seven, which leaves them second. Hull City, unbeaten on seven points with three scored and none conceded, are the early surprise in third, with Chelsea fourth on six.
Liverpool's win at Ipswich lifts them to sixth on five points, alongside Brentford, Newcastle United, Everton and Leeds United. Brighton & Hove Albion, Manchester United and Sunderland AFC all have four, while Crystal Palace's win at Fulham moves them up to 13th on three points, level with Ipswich Town.
At the bottom, Fulham and Coventry City prop up the table on zero points after three straight defeats, with Coventry yet to score. Tottenham Hotspur are 18th with one point and no goals from three games, while 17th-placed Aston Villa are also still waiting for a first goal.
How the community fared
FanTribe's prediction data tells the story of a brutal week. Of the eight fixtures with community predictions logged, the fans called exactly one correctly — and it was the boldest call of the gameweek.
Every prediction logged for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool backed the away win, with FanTribe's data showing a 70-point disagreement gap against a market that made Ipswich the favourites. Liverpool delivered, and the crowd beat the bookie.
The market's only correct favourite among those eight fixtures was Arsenal — the game where the community went the other way, every prediction backing a draw in a 72-point split from the odds. Arsenal won 2-1. The week's biggest fan-versus-market disagreement, Fulham vs Crystal Palace, ended with both wrong as Palace won 3-2 away, and the Everton vs Manchester United divide — fans backing United, the market favouring Everton — was upended by a 2-2 draw.
On the other four predicted fixtures — Newcastle United, Nottingham Forest, Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford — fans and the market agreed on the home side, and all four were upended by draws.
One correct call from eight for the community, one from eight for the market on those fixtures. After a gameweek like this, everyone gets a clean slate in Gameweek 4.
This story was generated from structured football data (fixtures, official results, league standings, betting odds) and FanTribe's own aggregated, anonymised fan data by the FanTribe Data Desk. It was published under our editorial policy.
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