Gameweek 4 roundup: six upsets, four draws and a derby win that keeps Manchester City perfect

Gameweek 4 of the 2026-27 Premier League season belonged to the unfancied. Six of the ten fixtures bucked the bookmakers — four of them ending in draws the market had rated unlikely — and the round leaves a familiar name top of the table, with several heavyweight clubs looking over their shoulders.

The headline acts

Manchester City remain the only side in the division with a perfect record. Their 1-0 win in the Manchester derby at Old Trafford took them to 15 points from five games — a fifth straight victory, with a goal difference of plus eight, according to the Premier League table. Manchester United, by contrast, sit 12th on five points.

Arsenal stay second on 12 points after a 2-0 win at Sunderland, a fourth consecutive victory, while Brighton & Hove Albion are third on ten following their 5-0 rout of Coventry City. The Seagulls have scored 16 goals in five games, the table shows, with a goal difference of plus eleven.

Six upsets, four draws

The shock of the round came at Stamford Bridge, where Chelsea were held 2-2 by Hull City AFC in a draw carrying a bookmaker-derived implied probability of just 14% — the lowest of the round's six upsets. In full, the upsets ran:

• Chelsea 2-2 Hull City — draw at a 14% bookmaker-derived implied probability
• Liverpool 0-0 Fulham — draw at 20%
• Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich Town — away win at 24%
• Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton — draw at 26%
• AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford — draw at 27%
• Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest — away win at 29%

How the table looks now

According to the Premier League table, Brentford, Leeds United, Liverpool and Everton are locked together on nine points, with Leeds impressive in a 4-1 dismissal of Newcastle United. Hull's point at Chelsea lifts them to eighth on eight, one place above Newcastle, with Chelsea tenth on seven.

At the bottom, Crystal Palace are 15th on four points, Aston Villa 16th on four, Bournemouth 17th on three and Coventry 18th on three, with Fulham and Tottenham Hotspur in the last two places on two points apiece — Spurs having scored just twice all season.

How the FanTribe community fared

It was a bruising round for predictors, and FanTribe's prediction data tells the story: no logged prediction on any of the six upset fixtures matched the final result.

The gameweek's biggest fan-versus-market disagreement came at Stamford Bridge, where every logged prediction backed Hull to win while the market made Chelsea favourites — a gap of 93. The draw meant neither camp called it, but those who refused to back the favourite had the satisfaction of seeing the odds embarrassed.

The community also opposed the market at Bournemouth v Brentford, Tottenham v Everton and Crystal Palace v Ipswich, backing Brentford, Everton and a draw respectively. None landed, though two of those three games finished level — the instinct to distrust the favourite was sound even when the specific call missed.

Where fans agreed with the market, they mostly collected: every logged prediction backed Arsenal at Sunderland and Brighton at Coventry, and both delivered. Half of the logged calls on Leeds v Newcastle went with Leeds, and the 4-1 result justified them. Only in the Manchester derby was the crowd definitively wrong, with logged predictions split between a United win and a draw while City, the market favourite, won 1-0.

Six upsets in ten fixtures is the kind of round that wrecks prediction games and reshapes tables. The FanTribe community, like the bookmakers, has plenty to reconsider before Gameweek 5.