Gameweek 6 odds: Arsenal shortest price as Hull City start as home underdogs

Nine of Gameweek 6's ten fixtures carry market prices in our api-football feed as of 14 September, and the most striking numbers are where the Premier League table and the bookmakers disagree. All implied probabilities below are bookmaker-derived, not predictions.

Hull City third, yet underdogs at home

According to the Premier League table, Hull City sit third — unbeaten, eight points from four games — yet the market makes them clear underdogs at home to Everton. Everton are 2.05 favourites, a 46% implied probability, with Hull at 3.8 (25%). FanTribe's points on offer reflect the gap: 76 for a Hull win, 41 for an Everton victory.

Villa and Fulham priced above their form

Aston Villa are 19th with a single point, but they are narrow favourites at home to sixth-placed Brentford: 2.52 against 2.63, a 37–36 split in the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Fulham's case is stranger still — 18th and on three straight defeats, yet 2.53 favourites away at ninth-placed Ipswich Town (2.67), with an Ipswich win worth 53 FanTribe points to Fulham's 51.

Arsenal and the round's biggest payout

Table-topping Arsenal, perfect on 12 points from four games, are the shortest price of Gameweek 6 at 1.30 at home to Leeds United — a 73% implied probability. A Leeds win at 10.0 carries 200 FanTribe points, the largest single payout on offer this gameweek, and even the draw at 5.4 is worth 108.

Anfield and Old Trafford

Second-placed Manchester City are 2.15 favourites at Anfield — 43% implied to Liverpool's 31% — and a Liverpool win is worth 60 FanTribe points. Manchester United, 13th, are strong favourites at 1.62 (58%) against Tottenham, who have neither a win nor a goal after four games according to the Premier League table. Spurs at 4.75 carry 95 points.

The tightest market of the round

Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest is the only priced fixture where the feed lists no favourite, and the numbers show why: Palace 2.62, Nottingham Forest 2.63, both at 36% implied, with the draw at 3.3 (28%). FanTribe points: 52 for Palace, 53 for Forest, 66 for the draw.

Elsewhere in Gameweek 6:

• Chelsea are 1.78 favourites (53% implied) at home to AFC Bournemouth, whose 3.8 away win carries 76 FanTribe points.
• Brighton & Hove Albion are 2.3 favourites (41% implied) at the Stadium of Light, where a Sunderland win at 3.0 pays 60 points.

There are no prices to report for Coventry City v Newcastle United, with no consensus odds available for Monday's fixture at the time of publication.