Gameweek 5 Roundup: Five Upsets Rock the Premier League as Manchester City Stay Perfect

Gameweek 5 of the 2026-27 Premier League season belonged to the outsider. Five of the round's ten fixtures were flagged as upsets in FanTribe's results data, the table has a fresh look, and the FanTribe community found predicting a bruising business.

The five upsets

These results defied the bookmakers, according to FanTribe's data:

• Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City — the unlikeliest outcome of the round, with a bookmaker-derived probability of just 18%. The Premier League table shows Coventry have scored only one goal all season: the one that won this game.
• Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal — a home win the bookmakers' numbers put at 20%.
• Leeds United 0-0 Crystal Palace — a draw carrying a bookmaker-derived probability of 24%.
• Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa — an away win rated at 25%.
• Fulham 1-1 Manchester United — another draw, also at a 25% bookmaker-derived probability.

The results that went to script

Manchester City beat Sunderland 5-3 — the outcome with the round's highest bookmaker-derived probability at 71% — to stay perfect. Liverpool edged AFC Bournemouth 1-0 (44%), Everton saw off Ipswich Town 1-0 (53%) and Newcastle United overcame Hull City 2-1 (60%).

The curiosity was Brentford's 3-0 win over Chelsea. FanTribe's market data recorded no outright favourite for that fixture, and not a single logged predictor backed a home win.

How the table looks now

According to the Premier League table, Manchester City lead with 15 points from five games and 13 goals scored. Arsenal sit second on 12 despite the defeat at Brighton, who are third on 10 points — with 16 goals, more than any other side in the division.

Below them sits an unbeaten cluster: Brentford (fourth), Leeds (fifth), Liverpool (sixth) and Everton (seventh) are all unbeaten on nine points, with Newcastle and Hull just behind on eight. Chelsea, 10th after the Brentford beating, have conceded 12 goals in five matches, while Manchester United are 12th on five points and Nottingham Forest 13th on five.

At the bottom, Tottenham prop up the table with two points, two goals scored and eight conceded after losing at home to Villa. Fulham are 19th on two points, Coventry 18th on three and Aston Villa 16th on four.

How the FanTribe community fared

FanTribe's prediction data shows fans and the market favoured the same outcome in seven of the ten fixtures — yet only three of those shared calls landed: Everton at home to Ipswich, Manchester City at home to Sunderland and Liverpool away at Bournemouth. The other four unanimous picks — Tottenham, Arsenal, Nottingham Forest and Leeds — were each undone by an upset.

The split votes produced mixed fortunes. One predictor backed the draw at Fulham and was rewarded when Manchester United were held; the 50-50 vote between Newcastle and Hull contained the correct home call. At Brentford, where predictors split between a draw and a Chelsea win, nobody came close as the Bees ran out 3-0 winners.

The community's boldest call was also its finest. FanTribe's data shows the biggest fan-versus-market gap of the gameweek at AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool: every logged predictor backed the away win, against a bookmaker-derived probability of 44% — a 56-point gap. Liverpool's 1-0 victory made that conviction look prescient.

With five upsets in ten games, Gameweek 5 was the round the Premier League tore up the script.